
不积跬步无以至千里
今日话题是无协议脱欧混乱将如何影响发展中经济体。
问题
1. Which economy will be affected most by a
no-deal Brexit according to analysts?
A. Ireland.
B. EU.
C. Britain.
D. Netherlands.
2. What can we learn about no-deal Brexit chaos from the news?
A. Developing countries might no longer receive low tariff on goods exported to Britain.
B. The impact of no-trade Brexit is likely to be less severe for large economies.
C. No-deal Brexit will help countries that sell goods to Britain.
D. Companies have huge investments in Britain feel optimistic of no-deal Brexit.
原文
Brexit will affect not only Britain’s relations with the European Union but also with hundreds of other countries with which Britain currently trades on EU terms.
London has negotiated new post-Brexit trade arrangements with several countries including Central American nations, Switzerland and South Korea among others, but that leaves hundreds of states from smaller economies to relative giants like Japan and Canada with whom trade would revert to World Trade Organization terms after a no-deal Brexit and striking new trade deals won’t be easy.
“Many countries with whom we try and do trade deals will say to us: “Yeah, that would be great. We quite like to know what your relationship with the European Union is going to be before we sign anything with you, though. So, all roads lead to Brussels.”
Such uncertainty doesn’t help countries that sell goods to Britain. Kenya exports cut flowers, fruit and vegetables with total exports to Britain estimated at four hundred million dollars per year.
Bangladesh exports almost four billion dollars’ worth of goods to Britain currently traded under the EU’s preferential rules of origin which allocates zero or low tariffs on goods from developing countries and no deal Brexit will likely mean disruption.
“The problem is that, that will erode the preferences that some of these countries receive, so, for example, the advantage other countries such as Bangladesh and Cambodia have on, on certain products because they have access with a lower tariff that would be removed.”
Speaking last month, the head of the Africa Development Bank warned that the combination of a no-deal Brexit and the US-China trade war were hitting African economies.
“The industrial capacity has fallen significantly, and so the demand even for products and raw materials of Africa will only fall even further, so the effect of that will have a ripple effect on African economies as a demand for their products weakened from China.”
Britain meanwhile is stepping up its search for new trade deals with minister’s visiting New Zealand, Australia and Japan this week, many of these nations’ companies have huge investments in Britain and fear the chaotic fallout of a no-deal Brexit. Overall, for smaller economies, the impact is likely to be less severe.
“African country seems to be quite more relaxed, or developing the more relaxed, except some specific countries that trade a lot with the UK about the prospect of, of, of a no deal and this is because, well, the UK has lost over many years the sort of importance in there as a destination of exports for many of these countries.”
A no-deal Brexit would hit the economies of many EU states like Ireland, Germany and the Netherlands, but analysts say it is in Britain where the impact will inevitably be felt hardest of all.
答案
1.C 2.A

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